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Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; December 2005; v. 95; no. 6; p. 2283-2296; DOI: 10.1785/0120050030
© 2005 Seismological Society of America
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Empirical-Stochastic Ground-Motion Prediction for Eastern North America

Behrooz Tavakoli1 and Shahram Pezeshk1

1 Department of Civil Engineering
The University of Memphis
Memphis, Tennessee 38152

An alternative approach based on a hybrid-empirical model is utilized to predict the ground-motion relationship for eastern North America (ENA). In this approach, a stochastic model is first used to derive modification factors from the ground motions in western North America (WNA) to the ground motions in ENA. The ground-motion parameters are then estimated to develop an empirical attenuation relationship for ENA using empirical ground-motion relationships from WNA. We develop an empirical-stochastic source model for both regions to obtain ground motions at different magnitude–distance range of interest. At short distances (R ≤ 30 km) and large magnitudes (Mw ≥6.4), an equivalent point-source model is carried out to consider the effect of finite-fault modeling on the ground-motion parameters. Source focal depth and Brune stress drop are assumed to be magnitude dependent. We choose three well-defined empirical attenuation relationships for WNA to compare the empirical ground-motion processes between the two regions. A composite functional attenuation form is defined, and, in turn, a nonlinear regression analysis is performed by using a genetic algorithm (GA) for a wide range of magnitudes and distances to develop an empirical attenuation relationship from the stochastic ground-motion estimates in ENA. The empirical-stochastic attenuation relationship for horizontal peak ground acceleration and spectral acceleration are applicable to earthquakes of Mw 5.0–8.2 at distances of up to 1000 km. The resulting attenuation model developed in this study is compared with those used in the 2002 national seismic hazard maps, derived in the 2003 Electric Power Research Institute studies and recorded in ENA. The comparison of the results to the other attenuation functions and the available ENA data show a reasonable agreement for the ENA ground motions.


Related articles in Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America:

Comment on "Empirical-Stochastic Ground-Motion Prediction for Eastern North America" by Behrooz Tavakoli and Shahram Pezeshk
Kenneth W. Campbell
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2008 98: 2094-2097. [Extract] [Full Text]  

Reply to "Comment on ‘Empirical-Stochastic Ground-Motion Prediction for Eastern North America’ by Behrooz Tavakoli and Shahram Pezeshk" by Kenneth W. Campbell
Behrooz Tavakoli and Shahram Pezeshk
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 2008 98: 2098-2100. [Extract] [Full Text]  



This article has been cited by other articles:


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Bulletin of the Seismological Society of AmericaHome page
K. W. Campbell
Estimates of Shear-Wave Q and {kappa}0 for Unconsolidated and Semiconsolidated Sediments in Eastern North America
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, August 1, 2009; 99(4): 2365 - 2392.
[Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]


Home page
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of AmericaHome page
K. W. Campbell
Comment on "Empirical-Stochastic Ground-Motion Prediction for Eastern North America" by Behrooz Tavakoli and Shahram Pezeshk
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, August 1, 2008; 98(4): 2094 - 2097.
[Full Text] [PDF]


Home page
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of AmericaHome page
B. Tavakoli and S. Pezeshk
Reply to "Comment on 'Empirical-Stochastic Ground-Motion Prediction for Eastern North America' by Behrooz Tavakoli and Shahram Pezeshk" by Kenneth W. Campbell
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, August 1, 2008; 98(4): 2098 - 2100.
[Full Text] [PDF]




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